斯巴达克斯第三季

Govt expects Germany to slide into recession in 2023_我的网站

一 |     Berlin, Oct 13 (UNI) As Germany battles the energy crisis, the government, in line with the leading economic institutes, expects an economic contraction of 0.4 per cent in 2023 and says that the country could slide into recession next year.



"This severe energy crisis threatens to become an economic and, in conjunction with it, a social crisis," Minister for Economic Affairs Robert Habeck said at a press conference here on Wednesday.



In its spring forecast, the German government had still projected growth of 2.5 per cent for next year.



The measures taken by the government to address the energy crisis have worked "no matter how serious and depressing these figures are," Habeck stressed.



A "significantly sharper" economic decline has been forecast, he added, for a worst-case scenario that includes a freeze of Russian gas supplies.



At the beginning of September, gas supplies through the important Nord Stream 1 pipeline to Germany were completely halted after being suspended several times previously for maintenance work.



To ensure heating supply this winter, the authorities have accelerated the filling of the country's gas storages. According to the government's legal targets, gas storage facilities should be at least 95 percent full by Nov. 1. This target, Habeck said, has now almost been reached.



Driven by soaring energy prices, inflation in Germany has risen steadily since the start of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, reaching record levels of 10 per cent in September, according to preliminary figures issued by the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis).



To cushion the impact of high inflation, the government has already presented relief measures, which include short-term financial support to residents faced with steep heating bills and increased welfare payments. It also announced a "protective umbrella" of up to 200 billion euros (194 billion US dollars) to stabilize the economy.



As a result of the measures, inflation would drop to 7 per cent next year instead of rising further as predicted by the economic institutes earlier, Habeck said. "These packages will have an impact, also to curb inflation."



However, companies have warned that "weak investment" is reducing the country's growth potential. This increases the risk that the German economy would "lose ground in global competition," the Federation of German Industries said on Wednesday.



"Of course, we need the full financial power of the state to maintain the substance of our economy and jobs," Habeck said, promising to "quickly implement" the gas and electricity price brakes.

UNI/XINHUA PRT。    今年第15号台风“灿鸿”于5日14时在西北太平洋洋面上生成，与第13号台风“白海豚”、第14号台风“鲸鱼”形成“三台共舞”的格局，其中需重点关注的是“白海豚”。据浙江省气象台消息，“白海豚”昨天14时中心位于温岭东南方向约1150公里的洋面上，当前为强台风级，中心附近最大风力14级。该台风具有生成源地东、环流尺度大、生命周期长、强度多变的特点，预计将以每小时15公里至20公里的速度向西偏北方向移动，强度变化不大，今天下午台风中心将移入东海。当前环流形势复杂，多台风相互作用，台风进入东海后副热带高压减弱断裂，引导气流减弱、移速变慢，“白海豚”未来路径仍存在较大不确定性。

二 | 从目前分析看，“白海豚”较大可能于9日下午至10日在浙江沿海登陆，登陆时为台风级或强台风级，同时也不排除在浙江近海转向、穿过舟山群岛北上的可能性。省气象台专家表示，目前来看，受台风影响，此次我省降雨时间会较长，主要集中在8日至11日，累计雨量大，单点降雨极端性强。

三 | 此外需重点防范大风天气，预计东海海域及沿海海面10级以上大风将持续60小时以上。综合天气研判，“白海豚”较大可能正面登陆我省，影响时间长、风雨强度大，综合致灾风险较高，相关部门需加强回港避风船只管控、滨海设施防风加固工作，同时防范强降雨可能引发的山洪、地质灾害、中小河流洪水等次生灾害，降低其对城市运行、交通运输、农业生产等的不利影响。

四 | 请市民持续关注气象部门发布的最新预报预警信息，合理安排生产生活。钱塘快评从最坏处着眼 做最充分准备评论员 陈凌当前正值“七下八上”防汛关键期，今年第13号台风“白海豚”正步步逼近，可能对我市造成较大影响，防汛防台形势严峻。

五 | 近日，习近平总书记对防汛救灾工作作出重要指示，强调要落实落细各项防汛措施，全力保障人民群众生命财产安全和社会大局稳定。每次台风来袭，既是对城市治理的考验，也是对党员干部底线思维与责任担当的考验。上个月，我市坚持“从最坏处着眼、顶格防御、打足提前量”，科学防御了今年第9号台风“巴威”，积累了防汛防台宝贵经验，切实守护了人民群众生命财产安全。当前，全市上下更要保持清醒头脑，以最迅速行动，做最充分准备，坚决打赢防汛防台硬仗。从最坏处着眼，是种清醒的极限思维。据气象学家分析，今年以来，太平洋上持续增强的厄尔尼诺气候现象，或将成为150年来最强的一次。截至目前，台风“白海豚”已奔袭10余天、行程约5000公里，历史罕见。这意味着，其未来的走向、强度、雨量、风圈都可能超出常规预判，不能简单套用现有经验。

六 | 我们宁可把形势想得更严峻一些，把情况预计得更复杂一些，也绝不能有一丝一毫的侥幸懈怠。做最充分准备，是种扎实的底线思维。居安思危，思则有备，有备无患。面对严峻形势，全市党员干部要按照台风正面登陆、特大暴雨、长时间影响等极端情况来做好最充分的准备，落实“沉下去、转到位、停下来、调控好、管得牢、氛围浓”等要求，做到严阵以待、闻令而动。同时，广大市民也要增强防灾避险意识，密切关注台风预警信息，主动配合转移避险，减少非必要外出，共同筑牢群防群治防线。未雨绸缪，事预则立。当前，全市上下要抢抓台风登陆前的关键窗口期，打足提前量，把各项防御工作抢在风前、雨前、灾前。要打足隐患排查提前量，对山塘水库、地下空间等重点部位再排查、再加固，确保不留死角。

七 | 要打足转移避险提前量，落实“谁来转、转到哪、何时转”等细节，确保应转尽转、不落一人。要打足应急抢险提前量，将应急力量、物资预置到关键点位，确保拉得出、顶得上、打得赢。风雨欲来，考验在即。让我们立即行动起来，从最坏处着眼，做最充分准备，把“时时放心不下”的责任感，转化为“事事心中有底”的行动力，全面做好防汛防台工作，切实守护人民群众生命财产安全。

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Published on:01:06:54